SPY rises 0.23% as 21 of 100 setups break out; GOOGL picked

Market recap, bot performance, and scanner analysis for Thursday, June 04.

SPY rises 0.23% as 21 of 100 setups break out; GOOGL picked

The UnxEdge breakout scanner pushed through 100 setups today, and the wedge pattern tape held together better than the index split suggested. Small caps and cyclicals kept working while big tech got sold, which is exactly why the wedge breakout list mattered more than the headline read on the SPY.

This was a rotation day, not a broad risk-on day. IWM added 1.37% while QQQ fell 0.72%, and that split showed up all over the scanner with housing, materials, industrial-adjacent names, and selective healthcare setups behaving better than megacap growth. Retail is now ROTATING OUT week over week, and that loss of sponsorship matters because it tells you the consumer trade is no longer carrying breakouts the way it did last week.

Macro was messy but tradable. Trump headlines on Iran and Lebanon kept geopolitical risk in the background, which helped maintain interest in hard-asset and defense-adjacent rotation while also keeping traders honest on anything duration-sensitive. At the same time, company-specific prints and guidance mattered more than the tape: ANET caught a bid after a key signal headline, Samsara's roughly $2 billion ARR update reinforced that quality software still gets rewarded on execution, and Resideo guidance support fed the housing complex. The bigger implication is simple: into tomorrow's NFP, traders were willing to pay for proven earnings and sector strength, but they were not willing to blindly hold crowded tech beta.

yesterday's debrief

Mixed index finish, cleaner action under the surface

$755.98
SPY +0.23%
$738.83
QQQ -0.72%
$291.60
IWM +1.37%
100
Setups Scanned
63 / 37
Bull / Bear Setups
21
Breakouts
28
Failures
37
A- Setups

The headline market looked indecisive. The scanner did not. Twenty-one breakouts out of 49 resolved setups is workable, especially on a day when leadership was rotating away from index-heavy tech and into smaller, less crowded names. That is not easy tape, but it is tradable tape if you're selective on grade and sector.

SNOW failed cleanly, and there is no way to sugarcoat it

SNOW BULL Stopped
Entry zone: $271.08 to $272.16
Stop: $266.45
TP1: $276.79 | TP2: $281.96
Result: -5.88R

SNOW never delivered the follow-through the setup needed and got taken out. In a market where QQQ lagged badly, chasing software longs without immediate momentum was a bad bet. Accountability matters more than storytelling here: this one was wrong.

GOOGL got the nod on stats, but the actual swing pick shifted to NET

Scanner Verdict
GOOGL BEAR

GOOGL screened as the strongest statistical fit today: 86.67% win rate, 6.51 profit factor, and the biggest sample size at 15 trades. In a tape where large-cap growth was under pressure, the bearish alignment made sense and the A- grade was strong enough to justify the call. For setup grades and live trigger levels, see live setups in the scanner.

GOOGL breakout scanner chart – June 04, 2026

GOOGL scanner chart – June 04, 2026 | UnxEdge

Official Swing Pick Sent
NET BULL

The published swing pick was NET BULL with medium conviction. That setup worked, but only marginally at +0.46R on the missed-trades log, which is a useful reminder that not every A- breakout deserves oversized expectations. The scanner found quality in pockets, but the broader market split kept upside muted outside the best runners like DHR.

Wex traded and lost money; Xcel stayed out

Only closed trades are listed here. The system was active, but the execution quality was poor and the winners it needed never made it into the book. watch Wex and Xcel trade live in the Edge Lab.

Wex FTNT BULL -19.9%
Exit: Stop loss at $147.47
Wex XHB BULL -28.8%
TP1 hit at $105.10, but the full contract still closed red

Xcel had 0 closed trades today.

Today's Arxe swing pick, NET BULL, was not traded by either bot. The cleanest explanation is pre-filter rejection rather than trigger failure, because the setup did break but only produced a minor +0.46R move. That is exactly the kind of marginal breakout a stricter filter can screen out without doing obvious damage, even if it looks frustrating in hindsight.

The bots left 10.8R on the table, and two full runners hurt

A- BULL | +3.67R | TP3 | RVOL 1.0x
A- BULL | +3.28R | TP3 | RVOL 1.0x
B BULL | +2.16R | TP2 | RVOL 0.41x
B+ BULL | +1.69R | TP1 | RVOL 0.89x
A- BULL | +0.46R | Minor | RVOL 0.92x
B+ BEAR | +0.37R | Minor | RVOL 1.08x
B+ BULL | +0.29R | Minor | RVOL 0.69x
A- BULL | +0.26R | Minor | RVOL 1.0x

The real pain was not missing the marginal stuff. It was missing DHR and HD, both A- bull setups that ran to TP3. Those are genuine blind spots if they were rejected on overly conservative momentum or liquidity filters, because the tape clearly rewarded select quality cyclicals and defensives even while tech sagged.

RDDT is easier to forgive. Low RVOL names that still squeeze higher can be hard to trust in real time, and not every 2R miss is a broken process. But two TP3 runners in one session is not noise. That is filter cost.

Calibration takeaway: the filters are probably too skeptical of low-drama A- bull setups in rotation-led tapes, especially outside crowded tech.

More failures than breakouts, but the winners had enough juice

21
Breakouts
28
Failures
0
Expired
42.9%
Breakout Rate

That is not a clean trend day. It is a selective market where entries need timing and sector alignment. Notable upside breakouts came from TMO, NET, DHR, DKNG, RDDT, and DECK. The names that worked were not random. They sat in pockets with either sector sponsorship or company-specific demand.

A 42.9% breakout rate says the tape was good enough to trade, but only if you were ruthless about where the money was actually rotating.

NFP hits before the bell, so levels matter more than opinions

These are the unresolved A- setups still coiling into Friday. Use the trigger, not the narrative. For updated grades and intraday breakout levels, see live setups in the scanner.

BIDU A- BULL
Entry trigger: above today's wedge high
Stop: below today's wedge low
TP1: 1R above trigger
Probability: 65 | Day move: 0.17% | RVOL: 1.0x
STX A- BULL
Entry trigger: above today's wedge high